[DRAFT – need to ‘fill in the blanks’]
On “This Week, with Christian Amanpour” Paul Krugman, noted, Nobel Prize-winning Princeton University economist declared that we have lost “seven hundred thousand teachers in the last few years” (rough quote, I’ll check it later tonight)… Can that be possible?
As we’ve seen before, Paul Krugman is not so good with math, but that number seems so extreme, so large, that it simply cries out for scrutiny. Allow me to scrutinize that number.
According to the NEA, they have 3.2 Million members (of which nearly one million are Education Support Specialists, College or University professors, or retired), and the AFT claims 1.5 Million members (of which 330,000 are either retired or are Preschool Professionals, with an undisclosed number of other professionals in the Healthcare, Higher Education, and School Administration professions) – 700,000 lost teachers would represent __% of all teachers – if we lost __% of our teachers, wouldn’t average class sizes have have gone up by a similar percentage?
According to my best numbers, we have seen class sizes increase _%
What Mr. Krugman forgets is that for every teacher that is ‘lost’ (either fired or retired), new teachers are hired if the next year’s number of enrolled students supports it. Total number of students enrolled in K-12 has decreased by _% over the last _% years.
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